Astros vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks – August 1
Updated Aug. 1, 2025, 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
Jeremy Pena and the Houston Astros are set to face off against Alex Bregman and the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park this Friday, with the game kicking off at 7:10 p.m. ET. Bookmakers have the Astros listed as -125 favorites on the moneyline, while the underdog Red Sox are given +105 moneyline odds to win. Houston is seen as the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total for the game is set at 8 runs. inoue weight class
Get all the essential betting insights regarding the Astros-Red Sox matchup, including the run line, moneyline, and total, plus expert picks. Stay updated with MLB on FOX Sports.
Astros vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds
When: Friday, August 1, 2025, at 7:10 p. jimmy alapag coaching sacramento kingsm. ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to watch on TV: Apple TV+
Favorite Moneyline: Astros -125
Underdog Moneyline: Red Sox +105
Total: 8
Over Total Odds: -109
Under Total Odds: -111
Run Line Favorite: Astros -1 jilikp.5
Run Line Odds: +130
Underdog Run Line Odds: -156
Astros vs. Red Sox Prediction
Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Astros 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 57%, Red Sox 43%
Astros vs. Red Sox Betting Insights
The Astros have secured 42 wins, or 55.3%, from the 76 games they’ve participated in as favorites this season. Houston has entered 52 matchups while favored by -125 or more, achieving a record of 28-24 in those games. The moneyline for this matchup suggests a 55.6% chance of victory for the Astros.
On the other side, the Red Sox have won 18 out of the 40 games they’ve participated in as underdogs this season. Boston holds a record of 13-13 in matches where they are favored at +105 or worse on the moneyline. This matchup indicates that the Red Sox have a 48.8% chance of clinching the win.
Astros Recent Betting Performance
The Astros currently sit with a 3-5 record in their past 10 matchups where they were favored on the moneyline. In these 10 games, the Astros, along with their opponents, hit the over on the run total three times. They hold a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their last 10 games.
Astros Recent Stats
Record: 5-5
Runs Per Game: 3.7
Home Runs: 8
ERA: 4.20
K/9: 9.6
Astros Player Insights
Jose Altuve leads the Astros with 57 RBIs this season, tallying 18 home runs and posting a .284 batting average. Altuve ranks 40th in home runs and 50th in RBIs among all hitters in baseball. He brings a two-game hitting streak into this matchup, batting .350 in his last five games with one home run, one walk, and four RBIs.
Jeremy Pena is batting .322, leading his team, while also ranking 122nd in home runs and 142nd in RBIs across the league. Yainer Diaz has a .252 batting average with 14 doubles, one triple, 15 home runs, and 15 walks. He is also on a two-game hitting streak, hitting .400 in his last five games with two home runs, one walk, and four RBIs. Jesus Sanchez boasts 12 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs, and a .256 average.
Astros Team Props
- Jesus Sanchez: Hits O/U 0.5 (-250), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+110), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+175)
- Christian Walker: Hits O/U 0 fly dota.5 (-210), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+125), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+170)
- Yainer Diaz: Hits O/U 1.5 (+175), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+100), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+165)
- Jose Altuve: Hits O/U 1.5 (+175), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+110), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+190)
- Jeremy Pena: Hits O/U 1.5 (+145), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (-110), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+195)
Red Sox Recent Betting Performance
The Red Sox have played as underdogs in five of their last ten games, securing three victories in those contests. In their past 10 games with a total, Boston and their opponents failed to hit the over six times. Overall, the Red Sox are 7-3-0 against the spread in their last 10 games.
Red Sox Recent Stats
Record: 6-4
Runs Per Game: 5.3
Home Runs: 15
ERA: 3.20
K/9: 8.2
Red Sox Player Insights
Jarren Duran holds the lead within the Red Sox with a .265 batting average and ranks 122nd in home runs and 39th in RBIs among all major league hitters. Duran has hit safely for six consecutive games, batting .324 over his last ten outings with four doubles, two triples, three home runs, six walks, and ten RBIs. Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .262, adding 21 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs, and 17 walks to his record.
Trevor Story leads the team with 65 RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu has the most home runs on the team with 20.
Red Sox Team Props
- Jarren Duran: Hits O/U 0.5 (-215), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+110), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+185)
- Alex Bregman: Hits O/U 0.5 (-230), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+115), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+185)
- Cooper Criswell: HR O/U –
- Wilyer Abreu: Hits O/U 0.5 (-130), Total Bases O/U -, HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+255)
- Trevor Story: Hits O/U 0.5 (-180), Total Bases O/U -, HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+230)
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